The FluxVille Times

Change is the Only Constant...Democracy and Capitalism are being re-examined... The SMA is Upon Us... Disruptive Innovation is the name of the game.... Capitalism 4.1 and The Fourth Industrial Revolution Frame the Game...Complexity Economics and Modular-Finance define it... READ ALL ABOUT IT!... in The FluxVilleTimes... MFiM... Modular-Finance~in~Motion... A publication of MAIN & WALL™ Media Group, LLC.

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Wednesday, December 2, 2015

This Time is Different... The New Normal is for Real...

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Todays Macro Numbers - Global Macro

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This Time is Different...

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We are Living in The FluxVille Times

Educators today are in the difficult position of not fully knowing what the concrete outcomes of AI will be. But we know that we are responsible for educating students for a future of technological reinvention that will likewise demand personal reinvention. And to serve students in such a period of flux, it is paramount that we do not delay in reinventing higher education to prepare our students for this new era.

Anthro-Vision

Many of the tools we have been using to navigate the world are simply not working well. In recent years we have seen economic forecasts misfire, political polls turn out to be wrong, financial models fail, tech innovations turn dangerous, and consumer surveys mislead. These problems have not arisen because those tools are wrong or useless. They are not. The problem is such tools are incomplete;

Yuval Noah Harari ~ Author of SAPIANS

"Change itself is the only certainty... to stay relevant - not just economically but above all socially - you will need the ability to constantly learn and reinvent yourself... As strangeness becomes the new normal, your past experiences, as well as the past experiences of the whole of humanity, will become less reliable guides."

Change is Constant:

It is easy to miss incremental shifts over time. The universe is dynamic and ever-changing. We are experts in the way the world used to be. FLUX is a persistent state of affairs. This means we must constantly check our own knowledge base as it ages out of currency and decays over time. ~ Barry Ritholtz

The HALF-LIFE of FACTS

Our world seems to be in constant FLUX With our knowledge changing all the time, even the most informed people can barely keep up. All this change may seem random and overwhelming, but it turns out there is actually order within the shifting noise. This order is regular and systemic and is one that can be described by science and mathematics. Facts change all the time. Smoking has gone from doctor recommended to deadly. We used to think the Earth was the center of the universe and that brontosaurus was a real dinosaur. In short, what we know about the world is constantly changing.

Complexity Science and Economics

Complexity scientists argued that economists needed to start exploring nonlinear dynamic models, path-dependent models by using the mathematics and tools of complexity science. This meant that standard economists needed to rethink their vision of the economy from a static vision in which everything moved to a single equilibrium, to a complexity vision where the parts are in constant FLUX even as the aggregate is in equilibrium, and new patterns are continually emerging. ~ Complexity and the art of Public Policy

The Myth of Modern Finance

Modern Finance

FluxVille Finance...

"Markets are constantly in a state of FLUX and money is made by discounting the obvious and betting on the unexpected"

~ George Soros



Change is Constant

"Change is the Law of Life. And those who look only to the past or present are certain to miss the future." ~ John F. Kennedy

The Modular-Finance Forum

The Modular-Finance Forum
From Modern to Modular...

The ModularWorld @MainandWall™

The ModularWorld @MainandWall™
MFiM™ ~ Modular-Finance~in~Motion...

FluxVille

The Future ain"t What it Used to be... YOGI

Context Matters... We Are in an Evolutionary Phase ... Transformative Companies are the new rage! Read All About it in the FluxVille Times...

READ ALL ABOUT IT !

  • in the FluxVille Times

Follow US:

  • The FluxVille Times

The FluxVille Times

The FluxVille Times
Change is Constant

The Villes @MainandWall

  • BoomerVille
  • FluxVille

Heraclitus: Life Is Flux

Heraclitus of Epheusus (late 6th century BCE) is probably best known for his oft-misquoted assertion, "You cannot step twice into the same river"....

Generation Flux

Generation Flux

The MAIN & WALL Financial Corporation

The MAIN & WALL Financial Corporation
MFiM™ ~ Modular-Finance~in~Motion...

Capitalism 4.1

Capitalism 4.1 and the Fourth Industrial Revolution Frame the Game...

Capitalism 4.1

Capitalism 4.1
and the Fourth Industrial Revolution

Follow us on Twitter

Follow us on Twitter
@Capitalism4pt1

Like us on Facebook

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The FluxVille Times

Quote

"The measure of intelligence is the ability to change."

~ Albert Einstein

Stephen Hawking

"Intelligence is the ability to adapt to change"

Sunday Brunch

  • SB@MainandWall

Capitalism 4.1

Capitalism 4.1
MFiM...

"The FluxVille Challenge"

"One of the great liabilities of history is that all too many people fail to remain awake through great periods of social change. Every society has its protectors of the status quo and its fraternities of the indifferent who are notorious for sleeping through revolutions. Today, our very survival depends on our ability to stay awake, to adjust to new ideas, to remain vigilant and to face the challenge of change."


~ Martin Luther King

The Times They are A'Changing...

Change... It's All Around Us...

Suggested Reading:

  • Capitalism 4.0 ~ Kaletsky, Anatole
  • Humility is the New Smart: Rethinking Human Excellence in the Smart Machine Age - Hess, Edward D.; Ludwig, Katherine
  • The Fourth Industrial Revolution ~
  • The Third Wave ~ Case, Steve
  • Whiplash: How to Survive Our Faster Future - Ito Joi; Howe, Jeff

Capitalism 4.0

The Third Wave

The Fourth Industrial Revolution

The fourth revolution reflects the rapidly blurring boundaries between humans and machines. It will affect the very foundations of our society: economic growth, education, financial systems, geosecurity. global trade, health, poverty, and much more.



FluxVille Politics...

The ideas of economists and political philosophers, both when they are right and when they are wrong, are more powerful than is commonly understood.

Indeed the world is ruled by little else. Practical men, who believe themselves to be quite exempt from any intellectual influence, are usually the slaves of some defunct economist.


- J.M. Keynes

Political Science:

  • The Third Wave, Samuel Huntington

Suggested Reading, Technology:

  • Homo Deus: A brief History of Tomorrow - Harrari, Yuval Noah
  • The Fourth Industrial Revolution; Schwan, Klaus
  • The Third Wave: An Entrepreneur's Vision of the Future - Case, Steve
  • Whiplash: How to Survive Our Faster Future - Ito, Joi; Howe, Jeff

Suggested Reading; Capitalism:

  • Capitalism 4.0 - Kaletsky, Anatole
  • Can We Avoid Another Finncial Crisis? (The Future of Capitalism) - Keen, Steve
  • 23 Things They Don't Tell You about Capitalism - Ha-Joon, Chang

Suggested Reading ~ Humanity:

  • From Pleasure Machines toMoral Communities: An Evolutionary Economics without Homo Economicus ~ Hodgson, Geoffrey M.

Modern Finance

It works until it doesn't work.... (Then what do you do ----Find someone to bail you out?)

You Compete, You Adapt, You Evolve...

" It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent that survives. It is the one that is MOST ADAPTABLE TO CHANGE"

~ Charles Darwin

The Future Ain't What it Used to Be

  • Planet Fintech
  • The Great Transformation
  • The Third Wave
  • Capitalism 4.1

MAIN & WALL Financial

MAIN & WALL Financial
Modular-Finance~in~Motion™...

The Next Level...

  • Capitalism 4.1
  • The Age of Transformation
  • The Third Wave

Profit from Change...

Antifragility is beyond resilience or robustness. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same, the antifragile gets better. This property is behind everything that has changed with time: evolution, culture, ideas, revolutions, political systems, technological innovation, cutural and economic survival, good recipes, the rise of cities, cultures, legal systems, equatorial forests, bacterial resistance.... even our own existence as a species on this planet.

Disruptive Innovation

Disruptive Innovation

The Fatal Flaw

All Modern Finance Assumes Stationary.... Therein lies the Fatal Flaw in This Mode of Thinking...

Constant

A quanity that is unkown but assumed to have a fixed value in a specified mathematical context. A theoretical or experimental quanity, condition or factor that does not vary in specified circumstances. Avoradro's number and Plank's constant are examples of constants.

~ Wikipedia

Bob Dylan

"You don't need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows"

MAIN & WALL Online...

MAIN & WALL Online...
Modular-Finance~in~Motion™

Simply Wrong...again...

'For every complex problem, the is an answer that is simple, clear and Wrong."

Perception and Reality

My illusion is more real to me than reality. And so do we often build our world on an error, and cry out that the universe is falling to pieces, if anyone but lift a finger to replace the error by truth.


( Mary Antin, 1881 - 1949 )

Schumpeter

Schumpeter
Creative destruction

The Villes @MainandWall™

  • BoomerVille
  • FluxVille

The Second Derivative...

"Ideas change, and the times we live in change. Perhaps the biggest change today is the rate of change."

Edge.org



Market Based Disruptive Innovation

Market Based Disruptive Innovation
Change is In The Air...

Saving Capitalism...

Saving Capitalism...
The Future is Uncertain...

Stephen Hawking

"Intelligence is the ability to adapt to change"

Evolution is Modular...

Evolution is Modular...
...and The Band Plays On...

Capitalism 4.1

  • MAIN Street
  • Pennsylvania Ave
  • WALL Sreet

MAIN & WALL Financial ™

MAIN & WALL Financial ™
The Road to Success is a Two Way Street...

Heraclitus

"It is in changing that things find purpose"

~ Heraclitus

~ John Maynard Keynes

"When the facts change, I change my Mind. What do you do Sir ?"

MAIN & WALL University

MAIN & WALL University
HomeSchool4StreetSmarts

Modular-Finance

  • Modularity
  • The Architecture of Complexity
  • Quantum Cognition

Modern v. Modular-Finance

The notion that markets are efficient and tend toward equilibrium is both false and misleading...

Three Card Monty...

Three Card Monty...
and The Dream Machine...

Breakfast @MainandWall

Breakfast @MainandWall
Worldly Wisdom 4U

The FluxVille Capacitor

"Financial Planning has Always lagged ideas in academia and institutions by ten to twenty years"*... One goal of the FluxVilleTimes is to take Investors forward to the present...


* Financial Advisor Magazine

Context Matters

"In matters of style, swim with the current - in matters of principle, stand like a Rock"

~ Thomas Jefferson

Stein's Law

"If something can't go on , it will stop"

Visit Us on Twitter

Visit Us on Twitter
Capitalism4pt1

~ Mfim ~

This is not a Classic Cyclical recovery - But an Evolutionary Phase...

Modular-Finance in Motion..

Something Old, Something New, Something Borrowed, Something Blue, And a Silver Sixpence in her Shoe...

Financial Capitalism

Financial Capitalism...

Albert Einstein

"Look Deep into Nature and then you will understand everything better"...

MAIN & WALL Univ

MAIN & WALL Univ

Modern Finance

Modern Finance
The Newtonian Cosmology

Modular-Finance

Modular-Finance
Modular-Finance in Motion™

GLOBAL CREDIT CRISIS

GLOBAL CREDIT CRISIS
Creating A New World Order

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