Wednesday, February 26, 2025

The FluxVilleTimes

Navigating Uncertainty - Radical Uncertainty: The limits of certainty demonstrte the power of human judgement over artificial intelligence. In most critical decisions there can be no forecasts or probably disrtibutions on which we might sensibly rely. Instead of inventing numbers to fill the gaps in our knowledge, we should adopt business, political, and personal strategies that will be robust. to alternative futures and resilient to unpredictable events. Within the security of such a robust and resilient reference narrative, uncertainty can be embraced, because it is the source of creativity, excitement, and profit.

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